Prices getting chopped on the daily and intraday timeframes. Current range is 115.25/116.25. Latest hourly advance breached 116.00, then stumbled. Dailies are conflicted and a falling ADX spells caution. Dangerous market, limit trades. Prefer trading with o/b or o/s hourly extremes teamed with tight stops, not seen now.
Finotec Analysis Team 31 August 2007
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Today's Economic Events
Time
Event
Currency
Period
Previous
Forecast
Significance
Actual
14:00
Durable Goods
USD
Jul
5.9%
14:00
Factory Orders m/m
USD
Jul
0.6%
0.8%
Measures the value of new purchase orders placed with domestic manufacturers for durable and non-durable goods. Factory Orders tend to have a low impact because it reports much of the same information contained in the Durable Goods Orders report released over a week earlier.
14:00
Consumer Sentiment (r)
USD
Aug
90.4
82.7
14:00
Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks
USD
Aug
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will testify before the House Financial Services Committee regarding the ongoing subprime mortgage problems. As head of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which is responsible for setting the nation\'s short term interest rate, Ben Bernanke is arguably the most influential figure in the currency markets. Bernanke is known to drop clues during his speeches, as it is the FOMC\'s tenet to keep the public aware of their monetary policy long before interest rates are changes. Heavy market volatility is often experienced during Bernanke\'s speeches as traders attempt to decipher his clues.
13:45
Chicago PMI
USD
Aug
53.4
52.8
The National Association of Purchasing Managers (NAPM) Chicago Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the Chicago business environment. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion.
12:30
Core PCE Price Index m/m
USD
Jul
0.1%
0.2%
The Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services, excluding Food and Energy. Like CPI, it reflects the price change in consumer goods and services. PCE differs slightly from CPI in that it only measures goods and services targeted towards and consumed by individuals. Food and Energy account for roughly 25% of PCE, but they can be very volatile from month to month and can distort the overall picture. PCE with the exclusion of these volatile components is thought to be a better indicator of the underlying inflation trend. Traders watch the Core PCE Price Index closely because it's the Federal Reserve's preferred consumer inflation indicator.
12:30
PCE index m/m
USD
Jul
0.1%
Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services.
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