Finotec News Archive - August 26 2008

The Dollar's rise not over yet says Lehman

slowing exports will stop the European Central Bank from raising the interest rate this year

Tammy Wally
26 August 2008

Add to bookmark: Add to: del.icio.us Add to: digg.com Add to: technorati.com Add to: Google Bookmarks Add to: Facebook
Read Recent Forex Daily Analysis Reports: Subscribe to RSS

EUR/USDUSD/JPYUSD/GBPUSD/CHF

Resistance
1.4860
1.4780
1.4715
111.00
110.65
110.30
1.8625
1.8590
1.8470
1.1200
1.1170
1.1105

Support
1.4475
1.4440
1.4420
109.00
108.65
108.15
1.8305
1.8170
1.8090
1.0995
1.0925
1.0845

The euro fell for a third day against the dollar on a report today that showed business confidence in Germany slumped to a three-year low. ``There's a good chance for the euro to go lower,'' said Tsutomu Soma, a bond and currency dealer at Okasan Securities Co. in Tokyo. ``People are giving up on bets for euro gains as the chance of an ECB rate hike fades away.'' The euro also declined today versus the yen on concern credit-market losses and slowing exports will stop the European Central Bank from raising the interest rate this year. The current interest rate stands at 4.25%. The EUR/USD is currently trading at $1.4601 as if 8:18am, GMT. EUR/JPY trading at 160.51.


The dollar's rally over the past month is ``close to unprecedented'' in the 35 years since the currency was decoupled from gold and will have room to rise on bets the European Central Bank will begin cutting borrowing costs, according to Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. ``The ECB is going to start cutting early next year -- in January,'' said Steven Englander, a currency strategist at Lehman in New York. ``Right now, the first ECB cut isn't priced in to the market until July. We are significantly more aggressive in terms of thinking how the ECB is going to respond to weaker growth and lower inflation.''


The UK pound is falling against the dollar after a report showed economic growth stagnated in the second quarter. The report added to pressure on the Bank of England to set aside concerns about inflation and cut its benchmark interest rate which is currently at 5 percent. BBA Mortgage Approvals come out slightly better than expected at 22.4K from an expected 21.1K. The GBP/USD is currently trading at $1.8390 as of 8:24am, GMT.

Finotec Analysis Team
26 August 2008

The market review and analysis content on this site, including news, quotes, data and other information, is provided for your personal information only, and is not intended as a recommendation for trading purposes. Content on this site does not provide any form of advice (investment, tax, legal) amounting to investment advice, or make any recommendations regarding particular financial instruments, investments or products. Finotec does not provide investment advice or recommendations to buy or sell securities.

Select Your Time Zone

Today's Economic Events





Time Event Currency Period Previous Forecast Significance Actual
18:00FOMC Meeting MinutesUSDAug3information
16:15BOC Governor Dodge SpeaksCADAug2information
15:00Consumer ConfidenceUSDJul51.953.0456.9information
14:00New Home SalesUSDJul530K530K4515Kinformation
14:00Richmond Fed IndexUSDAug-16-101-16information
13:00Composite Leading Indicators m/mUSDAug-15.8%1-15.9information
13:00CPI m/mEURJul0.6%3-0.3%information
08:30BBA Mortgage ApprovalsGBPJul21.1K222.4Kinformation
08:00Consumption IndicatorCHFJul2.24621.848information
08:00Ifo Business Climate IndexEURJul97.597.1494.8information
06:00Consumer ConfidenceEURJul2.12.031.5information
06:00GDP Annualized q/qEURJul-0.5%-0.5%1-0.5%information
00:00CSPI y/yJPYJul1.2%1.4%11.3%information

Trading in Foreign Exchange, CFDs, Options, Futures and Commodities and engaging in Spread Betting on financial products carries a high degree of risk to your capital and it is possible to lose more than your initial investment. You should only speculate with money that you can afford to lose. These products may not be suitable for all investors, therefore please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Finotec Trading UK Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.

FSA Register Number [470392]


Please read our full Disclaimer and Risk Warning.

Finotec Trading UK, Bridge House, London Bridge, London, SE1 9QR, United Kingdom

Copyright © 1998- 2008 Finotec Group Inc.SEC-OTCBB # All rights reserved.

 


Country  Area  Number